Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.107761 0.115149 0.122841 0.131459 0.140859 0.150818 0.162186
2025-10-05 0.094407 0.105617 0.117991 0.132727 0.149880 0.169319 0.193158
2025-10-12 0.085370 0.098921 0.114571 0.134131 0.158134 0.186905 0.224420
2025-10-19 0.077693 0.092532 0.110290 0.133363 0.162930 0.200070 0.251111
2025-10-26 0.071906 0.087619 0.106994 0.133016 0.167630 0.212947 0.278238
2025-11-02 0.066720 0.082873 0.103300 0.131520 0.170297 0.222945 0.302084
2025-11-09 0.061491 0.077595 0.098393 0.127816 0.169374 0.227595 0.318418
2025-11-16 0.057476 0.073585 0.094791 0.125459 0.169907 0.234051 0.337749
2025-11-23 0.054057 0.070117 0.091633 0.123381 0.170505 0.240427 0.357363
2025-11-30 0.052085 0.068471 0.090820 0.124494 0.175741 0.254054 0.389881
2025-12-07 0.048912 0.064960 0.087152 0.121134 0.173868 0.256342 0.403604
2025-12-14 0.045534 0.060983 0.082591 0.116124 0.169012 0.253358 0.407733
2025-12-21 0.042994 0.058130 0.079573 0.113360 0.167652 0.256209 0.423044
2025-12-28 0.042053 0.057543 0.079850 0.115691 0.174685 0.273784 0.467750
2026-01-04 0.040977 0.056696 0.079678 0.117282 0.180600 0.289989 0.512166
2026-01-11 0.039449 0.055094 0.078263 0.116764 0.182867 0.299879 0.545398
2026-01-18 0.038101 0.053694 0.077071 0.116511 0.185531 0.310686 0.582003
2026-01-25 0.036619 0.052015 0.075353 0.115260 0.186299 0.317950 0.612001
2026-02-01 0.034815 0.049764 0.072622 0.112129 0.183428 0.317905 0.625685
2026-02-08 0.033377 0.048025 0.070627 0.110134 0.182479 0.321518 0.648235
2026-02-15 0.032082 0.046455 0.068830 0.108372 0.181820 0.325611 0.672463
2026-02-22 0.031427 0.045867 0.068595 0.109316 0.186319 0.340655 0.725682
2026-03-01 0.030051 0.044075 0.066300 0.106466 0.183282 0.339560 0.737962